Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 259.966338 293.453666 330.657608 375.243575 427.469937 487.005491 560.432587
2025-05-04 209.845953 253.612420 306.567252 376.104610 466.126304 580.287782 738.550794
2025-05-11 178.248979 224.695105 283.974290 366.535165 480.745543 636.547376 871.255233
2025-05-18 156.481849 203.856803 266.923084 359.018828 493.558380 688.723789 1004.683747
2025-05-25 145.686521 195.573505 264.606077 369.979247 532.122227 781.824232 1216.235486
2025-06-01 133.533188 183.691788 255.340899 368.817250 551.281550 847.172099 1395.794607
2025-06-08 121.898421 171.171161 243.475179 361.670504 559.140104 894.344244 1552.738627
2025-06-15 113.883243 163.093184 237.199477 362.129494 578.881056 964.061962 1766.583079
2025-06-22 105.048027 152.914910 226.571955 354.008171 582.341480 1004.513119 1931.123972
2025-06-29 98.781852 146.138022 220.593300 352.815191 597.607094 1069.095445 2162.176014
2025-07-06 90.615862 135.698900 207.741707 338.248344 586.030680 1078.732185 2271.689351
2025-07-13 88.514861 134.828509 210.547135 351.632112 629.343127 1207.701886 2701.003272
2025-07-20 86.587594 134.200629 213.885682 366.754659 679.264003 1362.982551 3256.589176
2025-07-27 82.456839 129.569479 209.901086 367.670395 700.290840 1458.298304 3686.068121
2025-08-03 77.185973 122.596458 201.164826 358.356134 697.995173 1497.889170 3966.414497
2025-08-10 72.691141 116.664105 193.832636 351.046080 699.059359 1546.024810 4292.643491
2025-08-17 71.035921 115.599843 195.305563 361.706411 742.414069 1711.911156 5083.545331
2025-08-24 67.969142 111.793896 191.334590 360.576326 757.946304 1807.061705 5669.289025
2025-08-31 64.430350 106.907799 184.942634 353.625294 758.381474 1860.215616 6121.052286
2025-09-07 62.036849 103.974591 182.095491 354.071740 777.291513 1971.633866 6870.811193
2025-09-14 58.874427 99.426051 175.764840 346.171819 773.754908 2014.657696 7348.146455
2025-09-21 56.667273 96.548296 172.553988 345.011265 787.795519 2116.526284 8161.482022
2025-09-28 53.245915 91.185766 164.011391 330.838321 764.994412 2093.962446 8350.848327